Hopeful-Company-Boutique

0xbe8b0a31d68bc232d7f9e2e9fe7f0f1ae8d30226

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Hopeful-Company-Boutique: −$3.9K on 10 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 40% (95% range 17%–69%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$3.9K
return −21.2%
Settled bets
10
$18K staked
Won
40.0%
95% range 17%–69%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$3.9K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 30 SELL Xtreme Gaming @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Level UP vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: Level UP vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner $16K
Sep 30 BUY Natus Vincere @ 68¢
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B $4.6K
Sep 30 BUY PARIVISION @ 92¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner $1.6K
Sep 30 BUY Natus Vincere @ 89¢
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner $4.6K
Sep 30 SELL Team Vitality @ 99.9¢
Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD - Map 2 Winner
Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD - Map 2 Winner $10K
Sep 30 SELL T1 Academy @ 99.9¢
LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions - Game 2 Winner
LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions - Game 2 Winner $3.8K
Sep 30 BUY T1 Academy @ 99¢
LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions - Game 1 Winner
LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions - Game 1 Winner $4.9K
Sep 25 SELL GamerLegion @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win - Game 1 Winner $3.3K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed