Regal-Traveler-Palace

0xbe0b51cd591efa9f0e4a5356617b23ad0c4e48fd

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Regal-Traveler-Palace: +$3.9K on 27 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 59% (95% range 41%–76%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$3.9K
return +20.1%
Settled bets
27
$20K staked
Won
59.3%
95% range 41%–76%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 11 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$2.4K
Sep 6 – Sep 24
+$1.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 15 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Al Ain FC win on 2026-09-15?
Will Al Ain FC win on 2026-09-15? $1.5K
Sep 14 SELL No @ 99.9¢
Will Al Sadd SC win on 2026-09-14?
Will Al Sadd SC win on 2026-09-14? $1.1K
Sep 14 BUY No @ 97¢
Exact Score: Torino FC 1 - 2 AS Roma?
Exact Score: Torino FC 1 - 2 AS Roma? $1.5K
Sep 12 BUY Yes @ 98¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-12?
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-12? $1.3K
Sep 9 SELL Yes @ 99.7¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-09?
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-09? $1.3K
Sep 9 BUY Yes @ 97¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-09?
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-09? $1.3K
Sep 8 SELL No @ 99.9¢
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-08?
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-08? $1.3K
Sep 8 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-09-08?
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-09-08? $1.4K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed