Petty-Frame

0xbca290b9ce5ade123e892c6aca12565d7bf36aba

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Petty-Frame: +$267 on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 83% (95% range 55%–95%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$267
return +1.3%
Settled bets
12
$21K staked
Won
83.3%
95% range 55%–95%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 10 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$73
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$183
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$12
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY No @ 99.9¢
Will George Russell achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?
Will George Russell achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? $3.0K
Oct 2 BUY Aryna Sabalenka @ 99.8¢
China Open: Renata Zarazua vs Aryna Sabalenka
China Open: Renata Zarazua vs Aryna Sabalenka $1.3K
Sep 30 BUY Anna Blinkova @ 99.9¢
Adana: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Anna Blinkova
Adana: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Anna Blinkova $3.0K
Sep 24 BUY Angelina Voloshchuk @ 99.9¢
Porto: Angelina Voloshchuk vs Harmony Tan
Porto: Angelina Voloshchuk vs Harmony Tan $2.8K
Sep 23 BUY Portland Fire @ 99.78¢
Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire
Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire $1.8K
Sep 20 BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 99.9¢
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers $2.3K
Sep 8 BUY Invictus Gaming @ 93¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs $2.4K
Sep 8 SELL Invictus Gaming @ 99.9¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner $2.4K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed