Black-Switching

0xbc3c5cab02bb3279f7e102dce325437cd2ffbbb6

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Black-Switching: −$2.9K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 86% (95% range 49%–97%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$2.9K
return −11.1%
Settled bets
7
$26K staked
Won
85.7%
95% range 49%–97%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$1.1K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$4.0K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 10 BUY Yes @ 91¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-10?
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-10? $7.5K
Sep 8 BUY No @ 97¢
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-09-08?
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-09-08? $2.0K
Sep 6 BUY No @ 97¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-06?
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-06? $4.9K
Sep 4 BUY No @ 97¢
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-09-04?
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-09-04? $1.5K
Aug 27 BUY No @ 92¢
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-08-28?
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-08-28? $4.9K
Aug 23 BUY Yes @ 87¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-23?
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-23? $2.6K
Aug 22 BUY Yes @ 92¢
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-08-22?
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-08-22? $3.1K

All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed