Great-Basket

0xbb4d40a7c40df098cd819bc3692558026270de5a

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Great-Basket: −$14K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$14K
return −100.0%
Settled bets
3
$14K staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–56%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$14K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

In the live feed

BUY $11K
bought Over @ 44¢ → now 43¢ (−$278)

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Aug 28 BUY Over @ 50¢
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Games Total: O/U 2.5 $5.0K
Aug 28 BUY G2 @ 29¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A $4.6K
Aug 27 BUY Over @ 50¢
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Games Total: O/U 2.5 $4.4K

All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed