Quarterly-Lag
0xba8c5fbcc5f58b0e4ae0c1413e0413f8c803e77d
Quarterly-Lag: +$90 on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 70%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$90
return +0.2%
Settled bets
9
$61K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 70%–100%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$32
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$46
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$11
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Under
@ 99.9¢
Bodrum FK vs. Ankara Keciorengucu: O/U 2.5 |
Bodrum FK vs. Ankara Keciorengucu: O/U 2.5 | $2.6K |
| Sep 30 | BUY Kristina Penickova
@ 99.9¢
W100 Templeton, CA: Kristina Penickova vs Iryna Shymanovich |
W100 Templeton, CA: Kristina Penickova vs Iryna Shymanovich | $4.7K |
| Sep 30 | BUY Lois Boisson
@ 99.9¢
Adana: Lois Boisson vs Martyna Kubka |
Adana: Lois Boisson vs Martyna Kubka | $3.5K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Lanlana Tararudee
@ 99.9¢
Korea Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs So-Hyun Park |
Korea Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs So-Hyun Park | $22K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Lanlana Tararudee
@ 99.9¢
Korea Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs So-Hyun Park |
Korea Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs So-Hyun Park | $15K |
| Sep 19 | BUY No
@ 99.9¢
Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-19? |
Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-19? | $1.9K |
| Sep 8 | BUY Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08? |
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08? | $5.6K |
| Sep 8 | BUY Leolia Jeanjean
@ 99.9¢
Barranquilla: Leolia Jeanjean vs Carolina M. Alves |
Barranquilla: Leolia Jeanjean vs Carolina M. Alves | $1.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.