Svelte-Target-Buffet

0xba0c4f1c686250c621bd8ae4ce95724066d54715

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Svelte-Target-Buffet: −$481 on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 63% (95% range 31%–86%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$481
return −5.4%
Settled bets
8
$8.9K staked
Won
62.5%
95% range 31%–86%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$662
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$1.2K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$72
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 25 SELL Las Vegas Aces @ 99.9¢
Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury
Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury $1.9K
Sep 25 BUY Minnesota Lynx @ 99.9¢
Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx
Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx $1.1K
Sep 25 SELL Washington Mystics @ 99.9¢
Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics
Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics $2.4K
Sep 24 BUY Dallas Wings @ 96¢
Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm
Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm $1.8K
Sep 22 BUY Dallas Wings @ 95¢
Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury
Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury $1.3K
Sep 22 BUY Atlanta Dream @ 95¢
Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty
Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty $1.2K
Aug 22 BUY Toronto Tempo @ 71¢
Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempo
Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempo $1.5K
Aug 21 BUY Las Vegas Aces @ 97¢
Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces
Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces $2.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed