0xb915…8da5

0xb915070c8007b1bdf4b1ef04e56b066a022e8da5

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

0xb915…8da5: +$36K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$36K
return +66.8%
Settled bets
3
$53K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 21%–94%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$14K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$21K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 22 BUY Indiana Fever @ 54¢
Minnesota Lynx vs. Indiana Fever
Minnesota Lynx vs. Indiana Fever $5.9K
Sep 22 BUY Indiana Fever @ 53¢
Minnesota Lynx vs. Indiana Fever
Minnesota Lynx vs. Indiana Fever $18K
Aug 22 BUY Indiana Fever @ 53¢
Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)
Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5) $7.5K
Aug 20 BUY Under @ 50¢
Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 185.5
Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 185.5 $22K

All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed