Better-Lye
0xb8ef617fd5d960e61e56c50d2971697300b32864
Better-Lye: +$24K on 13 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 69% (95% range 42%–87%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$24K
return +42.1%
Settled bets
13
$58K staked
Won
69.2%
95% range 42%–87%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 13 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$2.4K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$7.9K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$14K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8 | BUY Cowboys
@ 33¢
Spread: Cowboys (-14.5) |
Spread: Cowboys (-14.5) | $1.3K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Cowboys
@ 27¢
Spread: Cowboys (-17.5) |
Spread: Cowboys (-17.5) | $1.1K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Cavaliers
@ 61¢
Celtics vs. Cavaliers |
Celtics vs. Cavaliers | $2.0K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Darja Suvirdjonkova
@ 65¢
W15 Maanshan: Anna Yang vs Darja Suvirdjonkova |
W15 Maanshan: Anna Yang vs Darja Suvirdjonkova | $1.8K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Over
@ 44¢
Bryce Young: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 |
Bryce Young: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | $3.5K |
| Sep 30 | BUY SU Esports
@ 58¢
LoL: The Secret Club Esport vs SU Esports - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: The Secret Club Esport vs SU Esports - Game 2 Winner | $1.2K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition
@ 58¢
LoL: Anubis Gaming vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage |
LoL: Anubis Gaming vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage | $1.4K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Chiefs
@ 46¢
Spread: Chiefs (-10.5) |
Spread: Chiefs (-10.5) | $18K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.