Odd-Okra
0xb8e32d575b8d360f90bcc95596e9a0bee444aaf2
Odd-Okra: −$15K on 68 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 66% (95% range 54%–76%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$15K
return −3.9%
Settled bets
68
$386K staked
Won
66.2%
95% range 54%–76%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 68 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$25K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$20K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$20K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | BUY Zuzanna Bednarz
@ 75¢
W15 Chisinau: Zuzanna Bednarz vs Krystyna Pochtovyk |
W15 Chisinau: Zuzanna Bednarz vs Krystyna Pochtovyk | $2.3K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Pia Lovric
@ 75¢
W35 Seville: Ana Candiotto vs Pia Lovric |
W35 Seville: Ana Candiotto vs Pia Lovric | $1.1K |
| Oct 2 | BUY Under
@ 52¢
Barbados vs. Bermuda: O/U 3.5 |
Barbados vs. Bermuda: O/U 3.5 | $1.6K |
| Oct 1 | SELL No
@ 91¢
US strike on Mexico by December 31? |
US strike on Mexico by December 31? | $2.7K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Valentina Ryser
@ 78¢
W35 Baza: Valentina Ryser vs Daniela Vismane |
W35 Baza: Valentina Ryser vs Daniela Vismane | $1.5K |
| Sep 30 | BUY Louis Wessels
@ 78¢
M25 Slobozia: Louis Wessels vs Petros Tsitsipas |
M25 Slobozia: Louis Wessels vs Petros Tsitsipas | $2.1K |
| Sep 30 | BUY Louis Wessels
@ 76¢
M25 Slobozia: Louis Wessels vs Petros Tsitsipas |
M25 Slobozia: Louis Wessels vs Petros Tsitsipas | $1.6K |
| Sep 30 | BUY Louis Wessels
@ 76¢
M25 Slobozia: Louis Wessels vs Petros Tsitsipas |
M25 Slobozia: Louis Wessels vs Petros Tsitsipas | $2.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.