Nonstop-Mail
0xb8532690dbc86a879d07cee40f99b9c50a520d33
Nonstop-Mail: −$3.3K on 11 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 36% (95% range 15%–65%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$3.3K
return −9.3%
Settled bets
11
$36K staked
Won
36.4%
95% range 15%–65%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 11 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$3.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5 | BUY Tampa Bay Rays
@ 49¢
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers |
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers | $1.5K |
| Sep 5 | BUY No
@ 19¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-05? |
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-05? | $5.0K |
| Sep 4 | BUY Real Betis Balompié
@ 57¢
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) |
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) | $10K |
| Sep 3 | BUY Under
@ 50¢
New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5 |
New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5 | $1.5K |
| Sep 2 | BUY Cleveland Guardians
@ 46¢
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians |
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians | $3.3K |
| Sep 2 | BUY Baltimore Orioles
@ 62¢
Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies |
Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies | $3.0K |
| Sep 2 | BUY Athletics
@ 34¢
Athletics vs. Texas Rangers |
Athletics vs. Texas Rangers | $1.5K |
| Aug 30 | BUY No
@ 17¢
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-08-30? |
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-08-30? | $3.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.