0xb6ce…895d

0xb6ce892dd3e01d4e30264f15fd9e61a4f62f895d

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

0xb6ce…895d: +$85 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 34%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$85
return +2.6%
Settled bets
2
$3.3K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 34%–100%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$85
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 12 BUY Yes @ 88¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? $4.3K
Sep 2 BUY No @ 99¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026? $1.5K
Aug 24 SELL No @ 77¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? $1.4K
Aug 24 BUY No @ 97¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? $1.9K

All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed