Somber-Piccolo

0xb6a6dd6a8f366ce2f761f48e6f06aa46ec707971

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Somber-Piccolo: −$3.8K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 22% (95% range 6%–55%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$3.8K
return −51.0%
Settled bets
9
$7.5K staked
Won
22.2%
95% range 6%–55%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$1.8K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$2.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 1 SELL Over @ 99.9¢
Uzbekistan vs. Syria: O/U 2.5
Uzbekistan vs. Syria: O/U 2.5 $1.1K
Sep 25 BUY Yes @ 52¢
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-09-24?
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-09-24? $1.0K
Sep 24 BUY Over @ 54¢
Netherlands vs. Germany: Germany O/U 1.5
Netherlands vs. Germany: Germany O/U 1.5 $1.0K
Sep 23 BUY Colombia @ 52¢
Spread: DPR Korea (-2.5)
Spread: DPR Korea (-2.5) $1.5K
Sep 23 BUY Over @ 56¢
Italy vs. Spain: O/U 2.5
Italy vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 $1.0K
Sep 20 BUY Yes @ 64¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20? $1.0K
Sep 19 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19?
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19? $1.8K
Sep 15 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Beijing Guoan vs. FC Pohang Steelers: Both Teams to Score
Beijing Guoan vs. FC Pohang Steelers: Both Teams to Score $1.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed