Peaceful-Housework
0xb6353a9608eccba83323bdb7ee4ec8b7af68bef0
Peaceful-Housework: −$4.3K on 21 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 43% (95% range 25%–64%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$4.3K
return −13.6%
Settled bets
21
$32K staked
Won
42.9%
95% range 25%–64%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 17 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$2.3K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$4.5K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$2.1K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | BUY HANJIN BRION
@ 68¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $3.1K |
| Sep 30 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 76¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | $1.5K |
| Sep 30 | BUY DN SOOPers Challengers
@ 45¢
LoL: Solary vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Solary vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 3 Winner | $1.1K |
| Sep 27 | BUY DN SOOPers Challengers
@ 42¢
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winner | $1.8K |
| Sep 20 | BUY DN SOOPers Challengers
@ 84¢
LoL: Fuego vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A |
LoL: Fuego vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A | $1.7K |
| Sep 13 | SELL Gen.G
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner | $3.3K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Team Vitality
@ 48¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner | $1.4K |
| Sep 6 | BUY Ninjas in Pyjamas
@ 58¢
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | $1.9K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.