Complex-Insert

0xb56db5215443706244b0af76b3daaad3066ad621

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Complex-Insert: +$1.2K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.2K
return +33.0%
Settled bets
2
$3.8K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 10%–91%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$1.1K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$2.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY @ 40¢
Spread: Rams (-7.5) AND Texans vs. Titans AND Spread: Seahawks (-10.5)
Spread: Rams (-7.5) AND Texans vs. Titans AND Spread: Seahawks (-10.5) $9.7K
Oct 9 BUY @ 21¢
Spread: Patriots (-10.5) AND Spread: Rams (-7.5) AND Lions vs. Cardinals AND Texans vs. Titans AND Bengals vs. Dolphins
Spread: Patriots (-10.5) AND Spread: Rams (-7.5) AND Lions vs. Cardinals AND Texans vs. Titans AND Bengals vs. Dolphins $9.6K
Oct 9 BUY @ 48¢
China Open: Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiatek AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Yibing Wu AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz
China Open: Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiatek AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Yibing Wu AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz $9.7K
Oct 9 BUY @ 39¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev AND China Open: Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiatek AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev AND China Open: Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiatek AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli $4.9K
Oct 8 BUY @ 31¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Yunchaokete Bu AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Nuno Borges vs Facundo Acosta AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Yunchaokete Bu AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Nuno Borges vs Facundo Acosta AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth $4.8K
Oct 6 BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 54¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves $2.7K
Sep 26 BUY @ 27¢
Chiefs vs. Dolphins AND Cardinals vs. 49ers AND Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants AND UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card) AND Jets vs. Lions
Chiefs vs. Dolphins AND Cardinals vs. 49ers AND Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants AND UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card) AND Jets vs. Lions $4.8K
Sep 24 BUY @ 25¢
Spread: Chiefs (-6.5) AND Cardinals vs. 49ers AND Seahawks vs. Commanders AND Chargers vs. Bills AND Jets vs. Lions
Spread: Chiefs (-6.5) AND Cardinals vs. 49ers AND Seahawks vs. Commanders AND Chargers vs. Bills AND Jets vs. Lions $4.8K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed