Impartial-Mule

0xb4e7cfbcf9174cfc99d8a0d45565b56d3b0c6a52

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Impartial-Mule: +$2.9K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 15%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$2.9K
return +22.6%
Settled bets
4
$13K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 15%–85%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$2.9K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Aug 27 SELL Inner Circle Esports @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 Winner $7.0K
Aug 23 BUY TEAM VISION @ 52¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner $5.2K
Aug 21 BUY Spirit @ 46¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs $4.8K
Aug 21 BUY Team Liquid @ 54¢
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs $2.9K

All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed