Ornate-Examination-Tapioca
0xb4bfe836c584d3439507b390d42f907bccd860f8
Ornate-Examination-Tapioca: −$1.9K on 14 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 71% (95% range 45%–88%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$1.9K
return −11.4%
Settled bets
14
$16K staked
Won
71.4%
95% range 45%–88%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 14 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$1.9K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | BUY Los Angeles Dodgers
@ 90¢
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers |
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | $1.3K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Chicago Cubs
@ 69¢
Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs |
Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs | $1.1K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Miami Marlins
@ 88¢
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5) |
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5) | $1.3K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Under
@ 75¢
Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5 |
Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5 | $1.1K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Cincinnati Reds
@ 83¢
Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves |
Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves | $1.2K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Chicago White Sox
@ 96¢
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals |
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals | $1.4K |
| Sep 22 | BUY Baltimore Orioles
@ 79¢
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5) |
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5) | $1.2K |
| Sep 20 | BUY San Diego Padres
@ 92¢
Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres |
Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres | $1.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.