Medium-Focus

0xb4548603def79bb4e77b7d8f8c77e7a4ffdfa98c

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Medium-Focus: +$3.3K on 10 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 20% (95% range 6%–51%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$3.3K
return +114.2%
Settled bets
10
$2.8K staked
Won
20.0%
95% range 6%–51%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$11
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$3.3K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$3
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 SELL LPH Gaming @ 99.9¢
Map Handicap: LPH (-1.5) vs Dynamo Eclot Phoenix (+1.5)
Map Handicap: LPH (-1.5) vs Dynamo Eclot Phoenix (+1.5) $1.1K
Oct 3 SELL Natus Vincere @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner $3.0K
Sep 9 SELL TYLOO @ 99.9¢
Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)
Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5) $2.5K
Sep 8 BUY Misa Esports @ 43¢
Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs $1.3K
Sep 7 BUY Lavked @ 50¢
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #8 Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #8 Group Stage $1.6K
Aug 28 SELL Spirit @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner $2.5K
Aug 27 SELL Lynn Vision @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner $1.2K
Aug 27 SELL Inner Circle Esports @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 Winner $2.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed