Scholarly-Pen-Wedge
0xb2f49fc87b10104398028dabbd285edb22fbacd9
Scholarly-Pen-Wedge: −$29K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 40% (95% range 12%–77%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$29K
return −30.8%
Settled bets
5
$94K staked
Won
40.0%
95% range 12%–77%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$29K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20 | BUY Gable Steveson
@ 92¢
UFC 331: Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf (Heavyweight, Prelims) |
UFC 331: Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf (Heavyweight, Prelims) | $37K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Gable Steveson
@ 91¢
UFC 331: Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf (Heavyweight, Prelims) |
UFC 331: Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf (Heavyweight, Prelims) | $5.3K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Iwo Baraniewski
@ 74¢
UFC 331: Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) |
UFC 331: Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | $4.7K |
| Sep 19 | SELL Joanderson Brito
@ 99.9¢
UFC 331: Giga Chikadze vs. Joanderson Brito (Featherweight, Early Prelims) |
UFC 331: Giga Chikadze vs. Joanderson Brito (Featherweight, Early Prelims) | $29K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Joanderson Brito
@ 78¢
UFC 331: Giga Chikadze vs. Joanderson Brito (Featherweight, Early Prelims) |
UFC 331: Giga Chikadze vs. Joanderson Brito (Featherweight, Early Prelims) | $11K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Joanderson Brito
@ 80¢
UFC 331: Giga Chikadze vs. Joanderson Brito (Featherweight, Early Prelims) |
UFC 331: Giga Chikadze vs. Joanderson Brito (Featherweight, Early Prelims) | $12K |
| Sep 19 | SELL Yes
@ 97¢
Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-19? |
Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-19? | $2.6K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Arizona State
@ 67¢
Arizona State vs. Kansas |
Arizona State vs. Kansas | $6.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.