Dazzling-Twig-Obstacle

0xb1dfd83a113ceb48680dc578120c19b85ba6d311

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Dazzling-Twig-Obstacle: −$1.1K on 11 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 9% (95% range 2%–38%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$1.1K
return −48.7%
Settled bets
11
$2.3K staked
Won
9.1%
95% range 2%–38%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$165
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$948
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 23 SELL LGD Gaming @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner $1.2K
Sep 23 SELL LGD Gaming @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner $1.2K
Sep 23 SELL Team Nemesis @ 92¢
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum - Game 2 Winner $2.4K
Sep 23 BUY Conventus Stellarum @ 87¢
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum - Game 1 Winner $1.1K
Sep 23 SELL Conventus Stellarum @ 60¢
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum - Game 1 Winner $1.9K
Sep 23 SELL 1win @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: 1win vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: 1win vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner $2.7K
Sep 22 SELL Natus Vincere @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage $1.4K
Sep 22 BUY Natus Vincere @ 76¢
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win - Game 2 Winner $1.2K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed