Jagged-Mandarin
0xb0a0a165dcd516b117c12b3ad5d5fb4e1281c8b8
Jagged-Mandarin: +$4.3K on 28 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 68% (95% range 49%–82%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$4.3K
return +13.8%
Settled bets
28
$31K staked
Won
67.9%
95% range 49%–82%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 12 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$2.8K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$1.4K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$167
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | SELL Minnesota
@ 99.9¢
Minnesota vs. Washington |
Minnesota vs. Washington | $2.5K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Minnesota
@ 96¢
Minnesota vs. Washington |
Minnesota vs. Washington | $2.4K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Montana
@ 96¢
Montana vs. UC Davis |
Montana vs. UC Davis | $1.2K |
| Sep 27 | SELL Oregon
@ 99.9¢
Oregon vs. USC |
Oregon vs. USC | $1.2K |
| Sep 26 | SELL
@ 99.85¢
Ole Miss vs. Florida AND Boise State vs. Western Michigan |
Ole Miss vs. Florida AND Boise State vs. Western Michigan | $1.4K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
@ 98¢
Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina |
Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | $1.4K |
| Sep 26 | SELL Indiana
@ 99.9¢
Northwestern vs. Indiana |
Northwestern vs. Indiana | $1.8K |
| Sep 19 | SELL Mei Yamaguchi
@ 99.9¢
Singapore Open, Qualification: Mei Yamaguchi vs Ulrikke Eikeri |
Singapore Open, Qualification: Mei Yamaguchi vs Ulrikke Eikeri | $1.6K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.