0xafd7…4EdB

0xafd7a02d32AF367C2A12C4eb986744Ae67e24EdB

Limitless

Can't tell from luck Check it on Limitless ↗

0xafd7…4EdB: −$5.0K on 61 settled Limitless bets since Sep 5, won 28% (95% range 18%–40%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
−$5.0K
return −36.2%
Settled bets
61
$14K staked
Won
27.9%
95% range 18%–40%
Mostly bets on
crypto

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 61 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $50+ bets since Sep 5, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 5 – Sep 20
−$769
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$4.3K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Sep 5. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Limitless whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −28.5% (538 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 29 BUY Down @ 45¢
BNB Up or Down Hourly
BNB Up or Down Hourly $404
Sep 29 BUY Down @ 45¢
DOGE Up or Down Hourly
DOGE Up or Down Hourly $420
Sep 29 BUY Up @ 25¢
Solana Up or Down Hourly
Solana Up or Down Hourly $164
Sep 29 BUY Up @ 16¢
XRP Up or Down Hourly
XRP Up or Down Hourly $148
Sep 28 BUY Up @ 36¢
XRP Up or Down Hourly
XRP Up or Down Hourly $302
Sep 27 BUY Down @ 53¢
Solana Up or Down Hourly
Solana Up or Down Hourly $156
Sep 27 BUY Up @ 19¢
DOGE Up or Down Hourly
DOGE Up or Down Hourly $71
Sep 27 BUY Up @ 51¢
XRP Up or Down Hourly
XRP Up or Down Hourly $292

Its last 8 captured bets of $50+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed