Courteous-Probation
0xaf7f9146f63d02fdc133028b485fc221fc24edca
Courteous-Probation: −$1.9K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 11% (95% range 2%–44%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$1.9K
return −56.3%
Settled bets
9
$3.3K staked
Won
11.1%
95% range 2%–44%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$3
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$1.9K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | BUY FURIA
@ 60¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner | $1.3K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Vitality
@ 72¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 4 | SELL KT Rolster
@ 99.9¢
LoL: RED Canids vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: RED Canids vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner | $1.4K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Team WE
@ 99.9¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs Team WE (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: GAM Esports vs Team WE (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $1.6K |
| Oct 3 | SELL BNK FEARX
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: Team Vitality vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $1.2K |
| Sep 26 | SELL LYON
@ 99.9¢
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner | $1.5K |
| Sep 24 | BUY fnatic
@ 72¢
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Just Players (+1.5) |
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Just Players (+1.5) | $1.1K |
| Sep 23 | SELL Galions
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Galions vs Saigon Warriors (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D |
LoL: Galions vs Saigon Warriors (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D | $1.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.