Full-Emergency-Bike
0xaeaf2226c01342c6cfb64d24ac2df0d9035a1779
Full-Emergency-Bike: −$3.5K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 38% (95% range 14%–69%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$3.5K
return −21.6%
Settled bets
8
$16K staked
Won
37.5%
95% range 14%–69%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$3.5K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30 | BUY Movistar KOI
@ 96¢
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winner | $8.0K |
| Aug 30 | BUY JD Gaming
@ 59¢
LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner | $1.3K |
| Aug 23 | BUY Bilibili Gaming
@ 70¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner | $3.0K |
| Aug 23 | SELL EDward Gaming
@ 99.9¢
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | $3.0K |
| Aug 23 | SELL JD Gaming
@ 99.9¢
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | $1.3K |
| Aug 23 | SELL Hanwha Life Esports
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner | $2.6K |
| Aug 23 | SELL LGD Gaming
@ 99.9¢
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | $2.4K |
| Aug 23 | BUY LGD Gaming
@ 83¢
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | $2.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.