Similar-Diver
0xaea580fb19bfe70c56f4d9eace7a4236b04b6163
Similar-Diver: −$6.6K on 15 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 27% (95% range 11%–52%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$6.6K
return −45.8%
Settled bets
15
$14K staked
Won
26.7%
95% range 11%–52%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$5.5K
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- −$1.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19 | BUY Karmine Corp
@ 83¢
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner | $1.1K |
| Sep 18 | SELL JD Gaming
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner | $1.0K |
| Sep 18 | SELL JD Gaming
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | $1.0K |
| Aug 29 | BUY Top Esports
@ 66¢
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs |
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | $2.4K |
| Aug 29 | BUY LGD Gaming
@ 70¢
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs |
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | $1.5K |
| Aug 29 | SELL T1
@ 99.9¢
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winner | $3.3K |
| Aug 29 | SELL BNK FEARX
@ 99.9¢
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner | $4.2K |
| Aug 29 | BUY T1
@ 61¢
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner | $1.9K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.