Punctual-Thirst

0xae8d278d8e288ddcebb0c31fc44159871e3b210f

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Punctual-Thirst: −$3.8K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 10%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$3.8K
return −51.1%
Settled bets
6
$7.5K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 10%–70%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$3.8K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 7 BUY Natus Vincere @ 71¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner $1.9K
Oct 6 BUY BetBoom Team @ 55¢
Counter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner $1.3K
Oct 6 BUY BetBoom Team @ 53¢
Counter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner $1.8K
Oct 5 BUY Vitality @ 64¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner $1.4K
Oct 3 BUY Aurora Gaming @ 73¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner $1.1K
Oct 3 SELL Astralis @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs BIG (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs BIG (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs $1.5K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed