Cautious-Caravan
0xae3019240d91c59c779299308ea20f4520cf079e
Cautious-Caravan: +$401 on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 12%–65%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$401
return +11.7%
Settled bets
9
$3.4K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 12%–65%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$1.9K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$2.3K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | SELL Houston Astros
@ 94¢
Houston Astros vs. Athletics |
Houston Astros vs. Athletics | $2.3K |
| Sep 26 | SELL Atlanta Braves
@ 91¢
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins |
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins | $1.9K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Toronto Blue Jays
@ 62¢
Cincinnati Reds vs. Toronto Blue Jays |
Cincinnati Reds vs. Toronto Blue Jays | $1.5K |
| Sep 23 | SELL Deniz Dilek
@ 99.9¢
Ankara: Solana Sierra vs Deniz Dilek |
Ankara: Solana Sierra vs Deniz Dilek | $1.2K |
| Sep 23 | SELL Texas Rangers
@ 54¢
New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers |
New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers | $1.7K |
| Sep 22 | SELL Marie Vogt
@ 67¢
Ankara: Marie Vogt vs Elena Ruxandra Bertea |
Ankara: Marie Vogt vs Elena Ruxandra Bertea | $1.3K |
| Sep 22 | SELL So-Hyun Park
@ 82¢
Korea Open: So-Hyun Park vs Robin Montgomery |
Korea Open: So-Hyun Park vs Robin Montgomery | $1.2K |
| Sep 21 | SELL Chiefs
@ 99.9¢
Colts vs. Chiefs |
Colts vs. Chiefs | $1.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.