Several-Alien
0xaca23974e2b8131efbafaa1fe03ea9595ea0b9a1
Several-Alien: −$1.6K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 38% (95% range 14%–69%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$1.6K
return −12.5%
Settled bets
8
$13K staked
Won
37.5%
95% range 14%–69%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$1.5K
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- −$1.8K
- Sep 24 – Oct 12
- −$1.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2 | BUY Yes
@ 34¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | $1.3K |
| Sep 22 | BUY Yes
@ 39¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | $1.5K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Paris Saint-Germain FC
@ 46¢
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) |
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) | $2.3K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Yes
@ 52¢
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Score |
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Score | $1.0K |
| Sep 19 | BUY FC Barcelona
@ 52¢
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) |
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) | $2.0K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Yes
@ 51¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? |
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? | $2.5K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Yes
@ 39¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | $1.2K |
| Sep 1 | BUY Yes
@ 45¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026? |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026? | $1.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.