Shocked-Crook

0xac715194f101aa682a63e56d979e58e6b2e40b92

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Shocked-Crook: +$19K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 68%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$19K
return +6.2%
Settled bets
8
$301K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 68%–100%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$4.8K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$9.4K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$4.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY No @ 89¢
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-10-09?
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-10-09? $35K
Sep 18 BUY No @ 99¢
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-09-18?
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-09-18? $60K
Sep 16 BUY No @ 92¢
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-09-16?
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-09-16? $35K
Sep 12 BUY No @ 96¢
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-09-12?
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-09-12? $35K
Sep 12 BUY No @ 92¢
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-09-12?
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-09-12? $45K
Sep 5 BUY No @ 95¢
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-09-05?
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-09-05? $35K
Aug 26 BUY No @ 95¢
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-26?
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-26? $30K
Aug 21 BUY No @ 95¢
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-21?
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-21? $27K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed