Treasured-Treasure
0xabc11a1db5572ed33286cffcc162767f587f9561
Treasured-Treasure: +$12K on 36 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 35%–66%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$12K
return +102.2%
Settled bets
36
$12K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 35%–66%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 10 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$1.8K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$11K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$43
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | SELL FlyQuest
@ 90¢
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner | $1.2K |
| Oct 7 | SELL FlyQuest
@ 91¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner | $1.1K |
| Oct 6 | BUY HANJIN BRION
@ 54¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 3 | SELL JD Gaming
@ 83¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $1.3K |
| Oct 3 | BUY JD Gaming
@ 64¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $1.0K |
| Oct 3 | SELL BNK FEARX
@ 91¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: Team Vitality vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $1.3K |
| Sep 20 | SELL G2 Esports
@ 86¢
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner | $1.3K |
| Sep 19 | SELL Karmine Corp
@ 77¢
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner | $1.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.