Tidy-Mouton
0xab6da4a5c01db48cc3639938bc102b814353f97a
Tidy-Mouton: +$7.2K on 79 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 34% (95% range 25%–45%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$7.2K
return +11.5%
Settled bets
79
$62K staked
Won
34.2%
95% range 25%–45%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 34 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$12K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$5.2K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Germany leading at halftime? |
Germany leading at halftime? | $1.3K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Yes
@ 56¢
Inter Miami CF leading at halftime? |
Inter Miami CF leading at halftime? | $1.9K |
| Sep 20 | SELL Over
@ 99.03¢
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs. Legia Warszawa: 1st Half O/U 2.5 |
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs. Legia Warszawa: 1st Half O/U 2.5 | $4.2K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Yes
@ 39¢
Manchester United FC leading at halftime? |
Manchester United FC leading at halftime? | $1.4K |
| Sep 20 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
Manchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 |
Manchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | $3.4K |
| Sep 20 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-09-20? |
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-09-20? | $1.2K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Yes
@ 57¢
Manchester City FC leading at halftime? |
Manchester City FC leading at halftime? | $2.3K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Yes
@ 41¢
Vålerenga Fotball leading at halftime? |
Vålerenga Fotball leading at halftime? | $1.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.