Adored-Saddle

0xab63c7b075f4e45e8dce1c8e25738eea03ac8f4b

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Adored-Saddle: −$5.4K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 23%–88%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$5.4K
return −32.8%
Settled bets
5
$17K staked
Won
60.0%
95% range 23%–88%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$5.4K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 9 SELL Qinwen Zheng @ 32¢
US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina
US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina $1.2K
Sep 9 BUY Qinwen Zheng @ 27¢
US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina
US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina $1.0K
Sep 9 SELL Carlos Alcaraz @ 72¢
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz $1.7K
Sep 9 BUY Ben Shelton @ 49¢
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz $1.0K
Sep 9 BUY Carlos Alcaraz @ 68¢
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz $10K
Sep 9 SELL Carlos Alcaraz @ 38¢
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz $1.4K
Sep 8 SELL Aryna Sabalenka @ 86¢
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova $1.5K
Sep 8 BUY Aryna Sabalenka @ 77¢
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova $1.5K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed