Dangerous-Insomnia
0xab444cf90149a8128eb510099e5917f521547ffe
Dangerous-Insomnia: +$7.9K on 76 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 34% (95% range 25%–45%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$7.9K
return +3.8%
Settled bets
76
$206K staked
Won
34.2%
95% range 25%–45%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 48 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$9.8K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$19K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$1.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 28¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner | $1.1K |
| Sep 18 | BUY JD Gaming
@ 74¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner | $11K |
| Sep 18 | BUY JD Gaming
@ 70¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner | $1.3K |
| Sep 18 | SELL Team WE
@ 21¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner | $1.6K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Team WE
@ 49¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | $4.9K |
| Sep 17 | SELL Invictus Gaming
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner | $11K |
| Sep 15 | BUY KT Rolster Challengers
@ 50¢
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 3 Winner | $2.3K |
| Sep 15 | BUY KT Rolster Challengers
@ 43¢
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 3 Winner | $3.9K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.