Upright-Chalk
0xaaa36f83bf22431e9ddf02dd5c20df8d9effe22b
Upright-Chalk: +$3.3K on 38 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 32% (95% range 19%–48%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$3.3K
return +7.2%
Settled bets
38
$46K staked
Won
31.6%
95% range 19%–48%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 26 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$84
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- −$2.1K
- Sep 24 – Oct 12
- +$5.2K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | SELL Novak Djokovic
@ 99.9¢
China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic |
China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic | $5.4K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Bilbao Basket
@ 58¢
Basquet Coruna vs. Bilbao Basket |
Basquet Coruna vs. Bilbao Basket | $2.0K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Anadolu Efes
@ 43¢
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Anadolu Efes |
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Anadolu Efes | $2.0K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Camila Osorio
@ 54¢
China Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Camila Osorio |
China Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Camila Osorio | $2.0K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Alycia Parks
@ 54¢
China Open: Alycia Parks vs Lin Zhu |
China Open: Alycia Parks vs Lin Zhu | $2.0K |
| Sep 30 | BUY Talia Gibson
@ 27¢
China Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Talia Gibson |
China Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Talia Gibson | $1.9K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Joventut
@ 52¢
CB Breogan Lugo vs. Joventut |
CB Breogan Lugo vs. Joventut | $1.5K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Maja Chwalinska
@ 44¢
Singapore Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Maja Chwalinska |
Singapore Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Maja Chwalinska | $5.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.