Close-Paddle-Clasp

0xaa917c36f72977d647179f4a687b85a3f91b98d5

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Close-Paddle-Clasp: +$3.4K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 23%–88%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$3.4K
return +26.8%
Settled bets
5
$13K staked
Won
60.0%
95% range 23%–88%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$3.4K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 4 BUY Over @ 45¢
Chiefs vs. Raiders: O/U 48.5
Chiefs vs. Raiders: O/U 48.5 $2.5K
Oct 4 BUY 49ers @ 39¢
Spread: 49ers (-5.5)
Spread: 49ers (-5.5) $1.6K
Oct 3 BUY G2 @ 53¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $2.4K
Oct 3 BUY MOUZ @ 78¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs M80 - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs M80 - Map 2 Winner $1.2K
Oct 3 BUY MOUZ @ 77¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs M80 - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs M80 - Map 2 Winner $3.9K
Oct 3 BUY Over @ 45¢
Michigan vs. Minnesota: O/U 43.5
Michigan vs. Minnesota: O/U 43.5 $1.3K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed