Acceptable-Irony

0xa9caf36beef9afa62f29bba80b0d39cbe0d36a8b

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Acceptable-Irony: +$2.0K on 20 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 10% (95% range 3%–30%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$2.0K
return +65.2%
Settled bets
20
$3.0K staked
Won
10.0%
95% range 3%–30%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$11
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$806
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$1.2K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 26 SELL 100 Thieves @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner $1.7K
Sep 22 SELL Johnny Speeds @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner $1.7K
Sep 20 SELL Vitality @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 3 Winner
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 3 Winner $3.0K
Sep 20 BUY Vitality @ 61¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 3 Winner
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 3 Winner $1.8K
Sep 19 SELL BESTIA @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs ShindeN - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs ShindeN - Map 1 Winner $2.0K
Sep 19 SELL BESTIA @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA - Map 1 Winner $1.4K
Sep 18 SELL Aurora Gaming @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner $1.6K
Sep 18 SELL magic @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner $1.8K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed