Quixotic-Link-Guinea

0xa94c8590780d1056b491070ecb7b731c31097bde

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Quixotic-Link-Guinea: +$2.3K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$2.3K
return +17.2%
Settled bets
3
$13K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 21%–94%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$2.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Aug 28 BUY Ninjas in Pyjamas @ 92¢
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner $1.0K
Aug 28 BUY EDward Gaming @ 40¢
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner $1.6K
Aug 28 BUY Ninjas in Pyjamas @ 70¢
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner $2.8K
Aug 28 BUY Ninjas in Pyjamas @ 66¢
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner $2.1K
Aug 28 BUY Ninjas in Pyjamas @ 64¢
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner $2.6K
Aug 28 BUY Ninjas in Pyjamas @ 98¢
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner $3.1K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed