0xa8ca…729a
0xa8cad91ba17a7eefbabd4daed88a75774c1d729a
0xa8ca…729a: +$55 on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 19%–81%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$55
return +1.6%
Settled bets
6
$3.5K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 19%–81%
Mostly bets on
stocks
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$6
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$49
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | BUY Up
@ 97¢
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 25? |
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 25? | $1.1K |
| Sep 24 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
Portugal vs. Wales: O/U 0.5 |
Portugal vs. Wales: O/U 0.5 | $1.1K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Over
@ 98¢
Portugal vs. Wales: O/U 0.5 |
Portugal vs. Wales: O/U 0.5 | $1.1K |
| Sep 24 | SELL Aurora
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs |
Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | $1.1K |
| Sep 24 | SELL Down
@ 99.9¢
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 24? |
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 24? | $1.1K |
| Sep 19 | BUY New York Yankees
@ 99.45¢
New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks |
New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | $1.4K |
| Sep 16 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $1.6K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.