Rundown-Junker
0xa89490d9602cbcc0da8c037110f2f85b1e27bf95
Rundown-Junker: −$8.8K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 30%–95%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$8.8K
return −9.9%
Settled bets
4
$89K staked
Won
75.0%
95% range 30%–95%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$9.2K
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- +$285
- Sep 24 – Oct 12
- +$140
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26 | BUY No
@ 99.3¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | $9.9K |
| Sep 26 | BUY No
@ 99.3¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | $9.9K |
| Sep 12 | SELL No
@ 99.2¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? | $1.9K |
| Sep 12 | BUY No
@ 99.2¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? | $9.9K |
| Sep 12 | BUY No
@ 99.2¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? | $9.9K |
| Sep 12 | BUY No
@ 99.2¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? | $9.9K |
| Sep 12 | BUY No
@ 99.4¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? | $10K |
| Aug 29 | BUY No
@ 97¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? | $9.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.