Plush-Affidavit-Trapdoor

0xa71184dcab93ee65a30be8d2ba41be69400e280e

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Plush-Affidavit-Trapdoor: +$10K on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 21%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$10K
return +47.4%
Settled bets
1
$22K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 21%–100%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 24 – Oct 12
+$10K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 12 BUY Lorenzo Carboni @ 68¢
Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald
Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald $1.1K
Oct 12 BUY Yanaki Milev @ 57¢
Catania: Yanaki Milev vs Federico Iannaccone
Catania: Yanaki Milev vs Federico Iannaccone $3.4K
Oct 8 BUY Vilius Gaubas @ 68¢
Braga: Vilius Gaubas vs Duje Ajdukovic
Braga: Vilius Gaubas vs Duje Ajdukovic $22K

All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed