Boring-Conga-Drake
0xa54de3eb0aeebe109eae42f9501a98ea6b78deb8
Boring-Conga-Drake: −$2.2K on 14 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 43% (95% range 21%–67%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$2.2K
return −11.5%
Settled bets
14
$19K staked
Won
42.9%
95% range 21%–67%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 12 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$3.6K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$4.9K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$893
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3 | SELL Under
@ 68¢
Ohio State vs. Iowa: O/U 45.5 |
Ohio State vs. Iowa: O/U 45.5 | $2.0K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Under
@ 55¢
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5 |
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5 | $2.0K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Under
@ 63¢
VfB Stuttgart vs. Greuther Furth: O/U 5.5 |
VfB Stuttgart vs. Greuther Furth: O/U 5.5 | $1.9K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Paula Badosa
@ 89¢
China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina |
China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina | $1.3K |
| Sep 28 | BUY Under
@ 71¢
Japan vs. Venezuela: O/U 3.5 |
Japan vs. Venezuela: O/U 3.5 | $2.0K |
| Sep 10 | BUY Over
@ 54¢
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5 |
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5 | $1.3K |
| Sep 9 | BUY Lina Gjorcheska
@ 57¢
Antalya 4: Lina Gjorcheska vs Aurora Zantedeschi |
Antalya 4: Lina Gjorcheska vs Aurora Zantedeschi | $1.0K |
| Sep 8 | BUY Over
@ 47¢
Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5 |
Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5 | $1.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.