Biodegradable-Crate-Wallet
0xa4f0a8f6133ab2fb2002b01c56e92479d166b287
Biodegradable-Crate-Wallet: +$5.3K on 20 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 30% (95% range 14%–52%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$5.3K
return +13.1%
Settled bets
20
$40K staked
Won
30.0%
95% range 14%–52%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 10 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$1.1K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$2.1K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$6.3K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | SELL LGD Gaming
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner | $3.0K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Aurora
@ 30¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs |
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | $2.7K |
| Sep 25 | BUY Falcons
@ 54¢
Falcons vs. Packers |
Falcons vs. Packers | $7.7K |
| Sep 24 | SELL Team Yandex
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs 1win - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs 1win - Game 2 Winner | $2.0K |
| Sep 24 | SELL Aurora
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner | $2.8K |
| Sep 22 | SELL 1win
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win - Game 1 Winner | $15K |
| Sep 22 | BUY GamerLegion
@ 43¢
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner | $5.6K |
| Sep 21 | BUY Chiefs
@ 80¢
Colts vs. Chiefs |
Colts vs. Chiefs | $8.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.