Fixed-Repair-Anxiety

0xa4cefc76440df3120a2257dd4ae691645ba1dcc5

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Fixed-Repair-Anxiety: +$3.2K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 44% (95% range 19%–73%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$3.2K
return +33.3%
Settled bets
9
$9.7K staked
Won
44.4%
95% range 19%–73%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$3.2K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY Arthur Fery @ 33¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery $1.5K
Oct 9 BUY Elina Svitolina @ 27¢
China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elina Svitolina
China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elina Svitolina $1.0K
Oct 9 BUY Quentin Halys @ 50¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Blockx
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Blockx $2.4K
Oct 8 SELL Pablo Llamas Ruiz @ 99.9¢
Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Petr Nesterov
Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Petr Nesterov $3.7K
Oct 8 BUY Pablo Llamas Ruiz @ 38¢
Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Petr Nesterov
Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Petr Nesterov $1.4K
Oct 8 BUY Zsombor Piros @ 17¢
Braga: Zsombor Piros vs Elmer Moeller
Braga: Zsombor Piros vs Elmer Moeller $1.0K
Oct 7 SELL Over @ 99.9¢
Adelaide 36ers vs. Melbourne United: O/U 182.5
Adelaide 36ers vs. Melbourne United: O/U 182.5 $1.0K
Oct 2 BUY No @ 34¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2? $1.2K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed