Cavernous-Beach-Squash
Skill vs luck
Cavernous-Beach-Squash on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 67% (95% range 21%–94%) · profit −$1.1K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.4% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 27, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Cavernous-Beach-Squash: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xa43a8c5344586abd5935eb5a744f66dd4e080c5b. Data CC BY 4.0.
Cavernous-Beach-Squash: −$1.1K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 27
- −$1.1K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 | SELL Yes @ 99.01¢ | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? ↗ | $3.4K |
| Oct 25 | BUY Yes @ 97¢ | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? ↗ | $1.7K |
| Oct 25 | BUY Yes @ 98¢ | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? ↗ | $1.6K |
| Oct 23 | BUY Yes @ 77¢ | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ↗ | $1.3K |
| Oct 21 | BUY Yes
@ 96¢
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1? |
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1? | $2.4K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?