0xA3c4…86a0

0xA3c489D87bbbf5ED4eB36fc96D0e9477f7d586a0

Limitless

Can't tell from luck Check it on Limitless ↗
Profit
−$601
return −8.9%
Settled bets
49
$6.7K staked
Won
42.9%
95% range 30%–57%
Mostly bets on
crypto

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 16 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $50+ bets since Sep 5, marked against how each market resolved.

Sep 5 – Sep 20: −$446 Sep 20 – Oct 5: −$154
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Limitless whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −28.5% (538 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 24 Bought Up at 50¢
SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily $51
Sep 22 Bought Up at 45¢
SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily $51
Sep 22 Bought Up at 45¢
SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily $51
Sep 21 Sold Down at 47¢
SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily $52
Sep 21 Bought Down at 47¢
SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily $53
Sep 15 Bought Up at 49¢
SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily $50
Sep 13 Bought Up at 48¢
SUI Up or Down - Daily
SUI Up or Down - Daily $51
Sep 12 Bought Up at 46¢
DOGE Up or Down - Daily
DOGE Up or Down - Daily $61

Its last 8 captured bets of $50+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*) · computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed