Black-And-White-Silkworm

0xa2f0ed6779ac40c8c3c8e419192d44263ea8eed9

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Black-And-White-Silkworm: −$795 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$795
return −5.1%
Settled bets
3
$15K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 21%–94%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$871
Sep 6 – Sep 24
+$76
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 19 SELL No @ 61¢
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-19?
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-19? $7.3K
Sep 18 BUY No @ 61¢
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-19?
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-19? $7.2K
Aug 28 SELL Yes @ 84¢
Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-28?
Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-28? $10K
Aug 27 SELL Yes @ 89¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27?
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27? $9.4K
Aug 27 BUY Yes @ 79¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27?
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27? $8.3K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed