Impossible-Comportment-Completion
0xa24e51e917d3f844b972e9bccfa6bc2e04621be8
Impossible-Comportment-Completion: +$12K on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 39%–86%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$12K
return +28.0%
Settled bets
12
$43K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 39%–86%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 10 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$1.9K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$10K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9 | BUY Harold Mayot
@ 71¢
Istanbul 3: Gabi Boitan vs Harold Mayot |
Istanbul 3: Gabi Boitan vs Harold Mayot | $25K |
| Sep 5 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-09-05? |
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-09-05? | $3.0K |
| Sep 5 | SELL No
@ 99.9¢
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-09-05? |
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-09-05? | $1.1K |
| Aug 29 | BUY Seahawks
@ 91¢
Seahawks vs. Chiefs |
Seahawks vs. Chiefs | $1.1K |
| Aug 29 | BUY Seahawks
@ 91¢
Seahawks vs. Chiefs |
Seahawks vs. Chiefs | $1.1K |
| Aug 29 | BUY Cardinals
@ 70¢
Cardinals vs. Packers |
Cardinals vs. Packers | $1.4K |
| Aug 29 | BUY Bengals
@ 82¢
Bengals vs. Eagles |
Bengals vs. Eagles | $1.6K |
| Aug 29 | BUY Giants
@ 67¢
Giants vs. Jets |
Giants vs. Jets | $1.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.