Watery-Credibility
0xa1f4714c78813491eedad8c7c162236be45c9681
Watery-Credibility: −$23K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 13% (95% range 2%–47%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$23K
return −123.1%
Settled bets
8
$18K staked
Won
12.5%
95% range 2%–47%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$2.9K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$1.1K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$19K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8 | SELL Maryville University
@ 99¢
LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports - Game 3 Winner | $5.6K |
| Oct 7 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 41¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $1.1K |
| Oct 6 | SELL PARIVISION
@ 79¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $18K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 37¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $14K |
| Oct 4 | SELL Chiefs
@ 99¢
Chiefs vs. Raiders |
Chiefs vs. Raiders | $70K |
| Sep 22 | SELL Aurora
@ 69¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner | $1.2K |
| Sep 19 | SELL GamerLegion
@ 85¢
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Cobra - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Cobra - Game 1 Winner | $3.2K |
| Aug 22 | BUY BoomBoys
@ 62¢
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winner | $2.9K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.