Salty-Tusk

0xa1e6ba93d878b71a895f80fcb5c36337143fe1c2

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Salty-Tusk: −$73K on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 42% (95% range 19%–68%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$73K
return −42.4%
Settled bets
12
$172K staked
Won
41.7%
95% range 19%–68%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$4.2K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$77K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 SELL Cowboys @ 9¢
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys $5.3K
Oct 6 BUY Falcons @ 67¢
Falcons vs. Saints
Falcons vs. Saints $44K
Sep 29 SELL Eagles @ 10¢
Eagles vs. Bears
Eagles vs. Bears $6.2K
Sep 27 BUY Seahawks @ 78¢
Seahawks vs. Commanders
Seahawks vs. Commanders $105K
Sep 25 BUY Under @ 57¢
Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 44.5
Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 44.5 $5.7K
Sep 24 SELL Chicago White Sox @ 85¢
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals $8.5K
Sep 24 SELL Under @ 99¢
Andorra vs. Malta: O/U 3.5
Andorra vs. Malta: O/U 3.5 $4.5K
Sep 24 SELL New York Yankees @ 99.9¢
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees $100K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed