Joyous-Manager
0x9ee8bbc36d378af72e5f6b8e2ea2eb67c05a89de
Joyous-Manager: −$65K on 13 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 31% (95% range 13%–58%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$65K
return −34.0%
Settled bets
13
$190K staked
Won
30.8%
95% range 13%–58%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 12 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$28K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$62K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$25K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | BUY 49ers
@ 57¢
Broncos vs. 49ers |
Broncos vs. 49ers | $23K |
| Oct 4 | SELL Giants
@ 99.9¢
Cardinals vs. Giants |
Cardinals vs. Giants | $112K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Giants
@ 63¢
Cardinals vs. Giants |
Cardinals vs. Giants | $30K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Cardinals
@ 75¢
Cardinals vs. Giants |
Cardinals vs. Giants | $7.7K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Seahawks
@ 79¢
Seahawks vs. Commanders |
Seahawks vs. Commanders | $2.4K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Broncos
@ 46¢
Jaguars vs. Broncos |
Jaguars vs. Broncos | $4.1K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Broncos
@ 50¢
Jaguars vs. Broncos |
Jaguars vs. Broncos | $8.0K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Bears
@ 60¢
Vikings vs. Bears |
Vikings vs. Bears | $42K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.